function [xtx,xty,yty,fss,phi,y,ncoef,xr,Bh,e] = fn_dataxyOldVer(nvar,lags,z,mu5,mu6,indxDummy,nexo) % Export arranged data matrices (including dummy obs priors) for estimation for DM models. % See Wagonner and Zha's Gibbs sampling paper. % % nvar: number of endogenous variables. % lags: the maximum length of lag % z: T*(nvar+(nexo-1)) matrix of raw or original data (no manipulation involved) % with sample size including lags and with exogenous variables other than a constant. % Order of columns: (1) nvar endogenous variables; (2) (nexo-1) exogenous variables; % (3) constants are automatically put in the last column. % mu5: nvar-by-1 weights on nvar sums of coeffs dummy observations (unit roots); (all equal 5--Atlanta model setting) % mu6: weight on single dummy initial observation including constant % (cointegration, unit roots, and stationarity); (5--Atlanta model number) % indxDummy = 1; % 1: add dummy observations to the data; 0: no dummy added. % nexo: number of exogenous variables. The constant term is the default setting. Besides this term, % we have nexo-1 exogenous variables. % ------------------- % xtx: X'X: k-by-k where k=ncoef % xty: X'Y: k-by-nvar % yty: Y'Y: nvar-by-nvar % fss: T: sample size excluding lags. With dummyies, fss=nSample-lags+ndobs. % phi: X; T-by-k; column: [nvar for 1st lag, ..., nvar for last lag, other exogenous terms, const term] % y: Y: T-by-nvar where T=fss % ncoef: number of coefficients in *each* equation. RHS coefficients only, nvar*lags+nexo % xr: the economy size (ncoef-by-ncoef) in qr(phi) so that xr=chol(X'*X) or xr'*xr=X'*X % Bh: ncoef-by-nvar estimated reduced-form parameter; column: nvar; % row: ncoef=[nvar for 1st lag, ..., nvar for last lag, other exogenous terms, const term] % e: estimated residual e = y -x*Bh, T-by-nvar % % Tao Zha, February 2000 % See fn_rnrprior2.m for the base prior. if nargin == 6 nexo=1; % default for constant term elseif nexo<1 error('We need at least one exogenous term so nexo must >= 1') end %*** original sample dimension without dummy prior nSample = size(z,1); % the sample size (including lags, of course) sb = lags+1; % original beginning without dummies ncoef = nvar*lags+nexo; % number of coefficients in *each* equation, RHS coefficients only. if indxDummy % prior dummy prior %*** expanded sample dimension by dummy prior ndobs=nvar+1; % number of dummy observations fss = nSample+ndobs-lags; % % **** nvar prior dummy observations with the sum of coefficients % ** construct X for Y = X*B + U where phi = X: (T-lags)*k, Y: (T-lags)*nvar % ** columns: k = # of [nvar for 1st lag, ..., nvar for last lag, exo var, const] % ** Now, T=T+ndobs -- added with "ndobs" dummy observations % phi = zeros(fss,ncoef); %* constant term const = ones(fss,1); const(1:nvar) = zeros(nvar,1); phi(:,ncoef) = const; % the first nvar periods: no or zero constant! %* other exogenous (than) constant term phi(ndobs+1:end,ncoef-nexo+1:ncoef-1) = z(lags+1:end,nvar+1:nvar+nexo-1); exox = zeros(ndobs,nexo); phi(1:ndobs,ncoef-nexo+1:ncoef-1) = exox(:,1:nexo-1); % this = [] when nexo=1 (no other exogenous than constant) xdgel = z(:,1:nvar); % endogenous variable matrix xdgelint = mean(xdgel(1:lags,:),1); % mean of the first lags initial conditions %* Dummies for k=1:nvar for m=1:lags phi(ndobs,nvar*(m-1)+k) = xdgelint(k); phi(k,nvar*(m-1)+k) = xdgelint(k); % <<>> multiply hyperparameter later end end %* True data for k=1:lags phi(ndobs+1:fss,nvar*(k-1)+1:nvar*k) = xdgel(sb-k:nSample-k,:); % row: T-lags; column: [nvar for 1st lag, ..., nvar for last lag, exo var, const] % Thus, # of columns is nvar*lags+nexo = ncoef. end % % ** Y with "ndobs" dummies added y = zeros(fss,nvar); %* Dummies for k=1:nvar y(ndobs,k) = xdgelint(k); y(k,k) = xdgelint(k); % multiply hyperparameter later end %* True data y(ndobs+1:fss,:) = xdgel(sb:nSample,:); for ki=1:nvar phi(ki,:) = 1*mu5(ki)*phi(ki,:); % standard Sims and Zha prior y(ki,:) = mu5(ki)*y(ki,:); % standard Sims and Zha prior end phi(nvar+1,:) = mu6*phi(nvar+1,:); y(nvar+1,:) = mu6*y(nvar+1,:); [xq,xr]=qr(phi,0); xtx=xr'*xr; xty=phi'*y; [yq,yr]=qr(y,0); yty=yr'*yr; Bh = xr\(xr'\xty); % xtx\xty where inv(X'X)*(X'Y) e=y-phi*Bh; else fss = nSample-lags; % % ** construct X for Y = X*B + U where phi = X: (T-lags)*k, Y: (T-lags)*nvar % ** columns: k = # of [nvar for 1st lag, ..., nvar for last lag, exo var, const] % phi = zeros(fss,ncoef); %* constant term const = ones(fss,1); phi(:,ncoef) = const; % the first nvar periods: no or zero constant! %* other exogenous (than) constant term phi(:,ncoef-nexo+1:ncoef-1) = z(lags+1:end,nvar+1:nvar+nexo-1); % this = [] when nexo=1 (no other exogenous than constant) xdgel = z(:,1:nvar); % endogenous variable matrix %* True data for k=1:lags phi(:,nvar*(k-1)+1:nvar*k) = xdgel(sb-k:nSample-k,:); % row: T-lags; column: [nvar for 1st lag, ..., nvar for last lag, exo var, const] % Thus, # of columns is nvar*lags+nexo = ncoef. end % y = xdgel(sb:nSample,:); [xq,xr]=qr(phi,0); xtx=xr'*xr; xty=phi'*y; [yq,yr]=qr(y,0); yty=yr'*yr; Bh = xr\(xr'\xty); % xtx\xty where inv(X'X)*(X'Y) e=y-phi*Bh; end